If you have a 50% chance of catching something with each type of bait, and these probabilities are independent of each other, it suggests that for any given attempt with a bait, you have a 50% chance of success. However, when considering multiple types of bait, the probabilities don’t simply add up to 150% (since probabilities cannot exceed 100%). Instead, to accurately determine the probability of catching something with any of the baits, we need to consider the probability of not catching anything with each bait and then find the complementary probability of this scenario. Let’s calculate it: • The probability of not catching anything with one type of bait is 50% (since the chance of catching is 50%). • Since the baits are independent, the probability of not catching anything with all three types of bait is 0.5*0.5*0.5 • The probability of catching something with at least one type of bait is the complement of not catching anything with all three types.

Сюда нужно еще добавить коэффициент «встать с дивана» и сразу цифры не такие радужные